Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the reference station for Polish capital weather records, confirm the highest temperature on April 13 reached exactly 14°C during midday hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models, which projected mild spring conditions with highs around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical early-April climatology averaging 13°C daytime maxima. No precipitation or frontal passages disrupted the steady solar heating pattern. Post-resolution challenges would require rare data revisions from IMGW verification processes, such as instrument calibration errors, but current hourly logs and satellite imagery solidify the measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 13?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$73,767 Объем
$73,767 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$73,767 Объем
$73,767 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$2,078 Объем
No
9°C
$1,325 Объем
No
10°C
$1,220 Объем
No
11°C
$3,582 Объем
No
12°C
$8,874 Объем
No
13°C
$14,266 Объем
No
14°C
$15,469 Объем
Yes
15°C
$8,118 Объем
No
16°C
$8,668 Объем
No
17°C
$4,488 Объем
No
18°C or higher
$5,678 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the reference station for Polish capital weather records, confirm the highest temperature on April 13 reached exactly 14°C during midday hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models, which projected mild spring conditions with highs around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical early-April climatology averaging 13°C daytime maxima. No precipitation or frontal passages disrupted the steady solar heating pattern. Post-resolution challenges would require rare data revisions from IMGW verification processes, such as instrument calibration errors, but current hourly logs and satellite imagery solidify the measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Объем
$73,767Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the reference station for Polish capital weather records, confirm the highest temperature on April 13 reached exactly 14°C during midday hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models, which projected mild spring conditions with highs around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical early-April climatology averaging 13°C daytime maxima. No precipitation or frontal passages disrupted the steady solar heating pattern. Post-resolution challenges would require rare data revisions from IMGW verification processes, such as instrument calibration errors, but current hourly logs and satellite imagery solidify the measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$73,767Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the reference station for Polish capital weather records, confirm the highest temperature on April 13 reached exactly 14°C during midday hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models, which projected mild spring conditions with highs around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical early-April climatology averaging 13°C daytime maxima. No precipitation or frontal passages disrupted the steady solar heating pattern. Post-resolution challenges would require rare data revisions from IMGW verification processes, such as instrument calibration errors, but current hourly logs and satellite imagery solidify the measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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