Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 10, driven by midday observations at the resolving station—Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPDG)—already exceeding 32°C under clear skies and intense solar insolation characteristic of Panama's late dry season. Forecast models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local ETESA guidance, project daily peaks of 33–34°C (91–93°F) with low cloud cover and light northerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical April averages at MPDG hover around 32.2°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers suppressing the peak below 32°C, though current stability and low precipitation odds (under 30%) make this improbable; final airport data expected by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on April 10?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 10?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,427 Объем
$17,427 Объем
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,427 Объем
$17,427 Объем
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City on April 10, driven by midday observations at the resolving station—Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPDG)—already exceeding 32°C under clear skies and intense solar insolation characteristic of Panama's late dry season. Forecast models from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local ETESA guidance, project daily peaks of 33–34°C (91–93°F) with low cloud cover and light northerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Historical April averages at MPDG hover around 32.2°C, reinforcing this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers suppressing the peak below 32°C, though current stability and low precipitation odds (under 30%) make this improbable; final airport data expected by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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