Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) officially recorded a maximum air temperature of 30.2°C on April 16, 2026, amid fine, dry conditions with zero rainfall and relative humidity ranging 60-85%. This outcome aligns with HKO's seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June 2026, following record-breaking March heat and an anticipated hot year driven by persistent high-pressure systems and climatological warming trends. Other stations like Lau Fau Shan hit 31.0°C, reinforcing regional heat. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an extraordinary data audit revealing sensor malfunction or recording error could alter it, given HKO's rigorous verification standards and historical reliability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$338,510 Объем
$338,510 Объем
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$338,510 Объем
$338,510 Объем
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) officially recorded a maximum air temperature of 30.2°C on April 16, 2026, amid fine, dry conditions with zero rainfall and relative humidity ranging 60-85%. This outcome aligns with HKO's seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June 2026, following record-breaking March heat and an anticipated hot year driven by persistent high-pressure systems and climatological warming trends. Other stations like Lau Fau Shan hit 31.0°C, reinforcing regional heat. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an extraordinary data audit revealing sensor malfunction or recording error could alter it, given HKO's rigorous verification standards and historical reliability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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