Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 17 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 17 апреля?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Объем
$57,233 Объем
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Объем
$57,233 Объем
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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