Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 23°C in Cape Town on April 14, backed by official observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport and urban monitoring sites, which recorded peak readings of exactly 23°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where April daily maxima average 23–25°C, following pre-event forecast model consensus from SAWS and ECMWF ensembles predicting subdued highs due to a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-hoc data revision from sensor calibration issues or an unverified outlier reading—remain highly improbable given uniform agreement across verified records, with no updates expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 14?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,488 Объем
$24,488 Объем
14 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,488 Объем
$24,488 Объем
14 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$7,963 Объем
No
19°C
$438 Объем
No
20°C
$644 Объем
No
21°C
$1,703 Объем
No
22°C
$1,539 Объем
No
23°C
$5,380 Объем
Yes
24°C
$1,515 Объем
No
25°C
$2,136 Объем
No
26°C
$1,342 Объем
No
27°C
$729 Объем
No
28°C or higher
$1,099 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 23°C in Cape Town on April 14, backed by official observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport and urban monitoring sites, which recorded peak readings of exactly 23°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where April daily maxima average 23–25°C, following pre-event forecast model consensus from SAWS and ECMWF ensembles predicting subdued highs due to a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-hoc data revision from sensor calibration issues or an unverified outlier reading—remain highly improbable given uniform agreement across verified records, with no updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Объем
$24,488Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 23°C in Cape Town on April 14, backed by official observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport and urban monitoring sites, which recorded peak readings of exactly 23°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where April daily maxima average 23–25°C, following pre-event forecast model consensus from SAWS and ECMWF ensembles predicting subdued highs due to a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-hoc data revision from sensor calibration issues or an unverified outlier reading—remain highly improbable given uniform agreement across verified records, with no updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$24,488Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 23°C in Cape Town on April 14, backed by official observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport and urban monitoring sites, which recorded peak readings of exactly 23°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with autumnal cooling patterns in Cape Town's Mediterranean climate, where April daily maxima average 23–25°C, following pre-event forecast model consensus from SAWS and ECMWF ensembles predicting subdued highs due to a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare post-hoc data revision from sensor calibration issues or an unverified outlier reading—remain highly improbable given uniform agreement across verified records, with no updates expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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