Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to the top of trader consensus at 36% implied probability on Polymarket following its dominant UMK win on February 28, blending strong jury scores with massive televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" energy, positioning it as a balanced frontrunner for Vienna. France (13.8%) and Denmark (11.1%) trail closely, buoyed by their own national selection victors—France earning OGAE fan points and Denmark's Sissal with "Hallucination" gaining jury favor—while early buzz from precursor polls like OGAE underscores Nordic and French momentum. With most national finals wrapped in March, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on high-energy entries amid volatile pre-semi-final shifts ahead of May 12-16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.9%
Франция 13.6%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 6.4%
$56,100,130 Объем
$56,100,130 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
14%

Дания
11%

Австралия
6%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Литва
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 35.9%
Франция 13.6%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 6.4%
$56,100,130 Объем
$56,100,130 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
14%

Дания
11%

Австралия
6%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Литва
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to the top of trader consensus at 36% implied probability on Polymarket following its dominant UMK win on February 28, blending strong jury scores with massive televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" energy, positioning it as a balanced frontrunner for Vienna. France (13.8%) and Denmark (11.1%) trail closely, buoyed by their own national selection victors—France earning OGAE fan points and Denmark's Sissal with "Hallucination" gaining jury favor—while early buzz from precursor polls like OGAE underscores Nordic and French momentum. With most national finals wrapped in March, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on high-energy entries amid volatile pre-semi-final shifts ahead of May 12-16.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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