Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national final victory with "Liekinheitin," which earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential reminiscent of past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." The classical violin-pop fusion has dominated recent betting odds updates and OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, while topping Spotify streams and fan polls. France's Monroe follows at 14% with the sleek "Regarde!," buoyed by pre-live hype despite no staging yet; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund climbed to 9.8% on jury-friendly momentum overtaking France last week. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") hold steady amid competitive previews, as Vienna semifinals loom in mid-May, where staging and rehearsals could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.6%
Франция 14.0%
Дания 9.8%
Австралия 6.5%
$54,431,951 Объем
$54,431,951 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
14%

Дания
10%

Австралия
7%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 35.6%
Франция 14.0%
Дания 9.8%
Австралия 6.5%
$54,431,951 Объем
$54,431,951 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
14%

Дания
10%

Австралия
7%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national final victory with "Liekinheitin," which earned strong jury points alongside televote surge potential reminiscent of past hits like "Cha Cha Cha." The classical violin-pop fusion has dominated recent betting odds updates and OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, while topping Spotify streams and fan polls. France's Monroe follows at 14% with the sleek "Regarde!," buoyed by pre-live hype despite no staging yet; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund climbed to 9.8% on jury-friendly momentum overtaking France last week. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") hold steady amid competitive previews, as Vienna semifinals loom in mid-May, where staging and rehearsals could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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