Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, crowned winner of UMK 2026 on February 28, drives its frontrunner status at 36.3% implied probability on Polymarket, blending classical violin flair with high-energy pop that earned top jury scores while echoing televote juggernauts like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader consensus highlights its broad appeal amid early OGAE poll leads and bookmaker alignment, positioning it ahead of France (13.4%), buoyed by strong fan polls despite pending live staging, and Denmark (10.5%) with "Før vi går hjem"'s melodic traction. Australia (6.5%) and Greece (6.3%) gain from preview buzz, but uncertainty lingers with ongoing national finals and Vienna semis on May 12-14, where jury votes and televote surges could spark upsets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 36.3%
Франция 13.4%
Дания 10.5%
Австралия 6.5%
$55,990,135 Объем
$55,990,135 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
7%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Литва
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 36.3%
Франция 13.4%
Дания 10.5%
Австралия 6.5%
$55,990,135 Объем
$55,990,135 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
7%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Литва
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, crowned winner of UMK 2026 on February 28, drives its frontrunner status at 36.3% implied probability on Polymarket, blending classical violin flair with high-energy pop that earned top jury scores while echoing televote juggernauts like "Cha Cha Cha." Trader consensus highlights its broad appeal amid early OGAE poll leads and bookmaker alignment, positioning it ahead of France (13.4%), buoyed by strong fan polls despite pending live staging, and Denmark (10.5%) with "Før vi går hjem"'s melodic traction. Australia (6.5%) and Greece (6.3%) gain from preview buzz, but uncertainty lingers with ongoing national finals and Vienna semis on May 12-14, where jury votes and televote surges could spark upsets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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