Finland leads Polymarket trader consensus at 36.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national final on February 28 with top jury and televote scores for its violin-driven staging and anthemic energy, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with catchy "Regarde!" (13.4%) and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive "Før Vi Går Hjem" (10.8%) follow, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and community polls amid the March completion of all 35 national selections. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 6.5%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.4%) gain from star power and buzz, but uncertainty lingers with rehearsals starting soon and secret jury votes ahead of the May 12-16 semis and final.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 36.4%
Франция 13.4%
Дания 10.8%
Австралия 6.5%
$56,921,695 Объем
$56,921,695 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
6%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Хорватия
1%

Германия
1%

Бельгия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Литва
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 36.4%
Франция 13.4%
Дания 10.8%
Австралия 6.5%
$56,921,695 Объем
$56,921,695 Объем

Финляндия
36%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
6%

Греция
6%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
3%

Украина
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Хорватия
1%

Германия
1%

Бельгия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Литва
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads Polymarket trader consensus at 36.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national final on February 28 with top jury and televote scores for its violin-driven staging and anthemic energy, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with catchy "Regarde!" (13.4%) and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive "Før Vi Går Hjem" (10.8%) follow, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and community polls amid the March completion of all 35 national selections. Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 6.5%) and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 6.4%) gain from star power and buzz, but uncertainty lingers with rehearsals starting soon and secret jury votes ahead of the May 12-16 semis and final.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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