Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 35.5% implied probability, driven by their perennial televote strength—securing second place in 2024 despite a low jury score, fueled by diaspora voting blocs and international fan campaigns. Greece trails at 17.5%, buoyed by Melody's viral buzz from her 2025 entry and Greece's rising public vote momentum in recent contests. Finland's 11.5% reflects their consistent party-anthem appeal, highlighted by strong 2024-2025 televote hauls. France rounds out the top tier at 8.3% amid hopes for a pop powerhouse resurgence. With national selections not starting until late 2025, odds hinge on historical patterns and early artist rumors, though geopolitical narratives and streaming virality could spark shifts ahead of the May 2026 contest in a yet-to-be-confirmed host city.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 8.4%
$3,948,090 Объем
$3,948,090 Объем
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
8%
Denmark
4%
Moldova
3%
Sweden
3%
Ukraine
3%
Romania
1%
Italy
1%
Cyprus
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Germany
1%
Poland
1%
Malta
1%
Switzerland
1%
Luxembourg
1%
San Marino
1%
Austria
1%
Montenegro
1%
Croatia
1%
Estonia
1%
Australia
1%
Belgium
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 18%
Finland 12%
France 8.4%
$3,948,090 Объем
$3,948,090 Объем
Israel
36%
Greece
18%
Finland
12%
France
8%
Denmark
4%
Moldova
3%
Sweden
3%
Ukraine
3%
Romania
1%
Italy
1%
Cyprus
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Germany
1%
Poland
1%
Malta
1%
Switzerland
1%
Luxembourg
1%
San Marino
1%
Austria
1%
Montenegro
1%
Croatia
1%
Estonia
1%
Australia
1%
Belgium
1%
United Kingdom
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Albania
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Armenia
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 televote winner at 35.5% implied probability, driven by their perennial televote strength—securing second place in 2024 despite a low jury score, fueled by diaspora voting blocs and international fan campaigns. Greece trails at 17.5%, buoyed by Melody's viral buzz from her 2025 entry and Greece's rising public vote momentum in recent contests. Finland's 11.5% reflects their consistent party-anthem appeal, highlighted by strong 2024-2025 televote hauls. France rounds out the top tier at 8.3% amid hopes for a pop powerhouse resurgence. With national selections not starting until late 2025, odds hinge on historical patterns and early artist rumors, though geopolitical narratives and streaming virality could spark shifts ahead of the May 2026 contest in a yet-to-be-confirmed host city.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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