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Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал

Market icon

Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал

$417,808 Объем

12 мая 2026 г.
Polymarket

$417,808 Объем

Polymarket
Market icon

Финляндия

$330,368 Объем

99%

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Швеция

$1,640 Объем

97%

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Греция

$4,226 Объем

95%

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Израиль

$19,583 Объем

94%

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Молдова

$1,439 Объем

85%

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Сербия

$1,452 Объем

78%

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Хорватия

$3,605 Объем

76%

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Литва

$2,591 Объем

69%

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Польша

$7,240 Объем

52%

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Бельгия

$6,233 Объем

51%

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Грузия

$166 Объем

50%

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Черногория

$1,414 Объем

54%

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Португалия

$30,880 Объем

32%

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Эстония

$1,848 Объем

23%

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Сан-Марино

$5,122 Объем

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, positioning Nordic frontrunners Sweden (opener "My System" by Felicia) and Finland alongside Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas early in the 15-entry lineup on May 12, enhancing their qualification prospects amid high anticipation. Strong national final performances, polished song releases like Georgia's "On Replay" and Israel's entry, plus the return of professional juries to semis for the first time since 2022, favor entries with robust vocals and staging. Top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final; rehearsals and pre-event buzz could shift dynamics in this skin-in-the-game market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$417,808
Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The recent reveal of the First Semi-Final running order on April 2 has sharpened trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, positioning Nordic frontrunners Sweden (opener "My System" by Felicia) and Finland alongside Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas early in the 15-entry lineup on May 12, enhancing their qualification prospects amid high anticipation. Strong national final performances, polished song releases like Georgia's "On Replay" and Israel's entry, plus the return of professional juries to semis for the first time since 2022, favor entries with robust vocals and staging. Top 10 advance to the May 16 Grand Final; rehearsals and pre-event buzz could shift dynamics in this skin-in-the-game market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$417,808
Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Финляндия» с 99%, за ним следует «Швеция» с 97%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $417.8K с момента запуска рынка Jan 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал» — «Финляндия» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Швеция» с 97%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.