With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: первый полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал
$408,929 Объем

Финляндия
95%

Швеция
94%

Греция
94%

Израиль
88%

Молдова
82%

Хорватия
82%

Сербия
67%

Литва
66%

Польша
55%

Черногория
55%

Грузия
45%

Бельгия
50%

Португалия
32%

Эстония
20%

Сан-Марино
12%
$408,929 Объем

Финляндия
95%

Швеция
94%

Греция
94%

Израиль
88%

Молдова
82%

Хорватия
82%

Сербия
67%

Литва
66%

Польша
55%

Черногория
55%

Грузия
45%

Бельгия
50%

Португалия
32%

Эстония
20%

Сан-Марино
12%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapped up in early March—including standouts like Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final lineup is locked for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. The 15 contenders, split into first-half performers (Croatia, Finland, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Portugal, Sweden) and second-half (Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, San Marino, Serbia), plus Big 5 acts Germany and Italy, set the stage for 10 qualifiers. Trader sentiment tracks early buzz on staging previews and historical Nordic/Baltic televote strength, with rehearsals and full running order draw as key near-term catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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