With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: первый полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал
$412,271 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Финляндия
97%
Греция
94%
Швеция
94%
Израиль
89%
Молдова
82%
Хорватия
81%
Литва
70%
Сербия
66%
Черногория
57%
Грузия
47%
Польша
46%
Бельгия
50%
Португалия
32%
Эстония
20%
Сан-Марино
16%
$412,271 Объем
Финляндия
$328,114 Объем
97%
Греция
$3,967 Объем
94%
Швеция
$1,303 Объем
94%
Израиль
$19,535 Объем
89%
Молдова
$1,426 Объем
82%
Хорватия
$2,256 Объем
81%
Литва
$2,439 Объем
70%
Сербия
$837 Объем
66%
Черногория
$1,414 Объем
57%
Грузия
$166 Объем
47%
Польша
$7,153 Объем
46%
Бельгия
$6,160 Объем
50%
Португалия
$30,880 Объем
32%
Эстония
$1,574 Объем
20%
Сан-Марино
$5,045 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Объем
$412,271Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$412,271Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapping up by mid-March, the full 35-song lineup for Vienna 2026 is set, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket for the First Semi-Final qualifiers on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle. Early betting odds and forecasts spotlight Finland's "The Model" as the frontrunner to top the heat, driven by strong preview buzz, alongside contenders from Sweden, Georgia, Greece, and Moldova amid high fan engagement on social media. The January semi-final allocation draw placed 15 nations—including Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Israel, Portugal, and Serbia—into the mix, where historical qualification rates favor Nordic and Eastern acts. Upcoming running order announcements and late-April rehearsals could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals and live polish, as jury votes and televoting blend unpredictably in this skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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