With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: первый полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: первый полуфинал
$408,989 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Финляндия
96%
Швеция
94%
Греция
94%
Израиль
88%
Молдова
82%
Хорватия
82%
Сербия
66%
Литва
65%
Польша
55%
Черногория
57%
Грузия
45%
Бельгия
50%
Португалия
32%
Эстония
20%
Сан-Марино
12%
$408,989 Объем
Финляндия
$326,452 Объем
96%
Швеция
$1,255 Объем
94%
Греция
$3,967 Объем
94%
Израиль
$19,519 Объем
88%
Молдова
$0 Объем
82%
Хорватия
$2,256 Объем
82%
Сербия
$837 Объем
66%
Литва
$2,309 Объем
65%
Польша
$7,153 Объем
55%
Черногория
$1,414 Объем
57%
Грузия
$166 Объем
45%
Бельгия
$6,160 Объем
50%
Португалия
$30,880 Объем
32%
Эстония
$1,574 Объем
20%
Сан-Марино
$5,045 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Объем
$408,989Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$408,989Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapped up by late March, trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna centers on frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, surging to top betting odds after a dominant UMK televote win, and Sweden's Felicia with "My System," bolstered by perennial qualification records and predictive models. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") gains from streaming buzz and diaspora support, while Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") contends amid geopolitical boycotts protesting Gaza tensions. Germany and Italy vote as pre-qualified Big 5 nations. Upcoming running order draw and rehearsals could reshape staging dynamics in this jury-televote hybrid, where historical patterns favor Nordic and Balkan entries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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