President Daniel Noboa's commanding victory in Ecuador's April 2024 security referendum, where over 60% approved his anti-gang measures including extraditions and military deployments, has bolstered his leadership and quelled removal speculation, fueling 95.5% trader odds against him exiting office by June 30. No impeachment proceedings advance in the National Assembly, his mandate remains intact until May 2025, and Supreme Court rulings have upheld key policies amid persistent narcotrafficking violence. High confidence stems from this political stability and public backing, though improbable scenarios like intensified protests forcing resignation or unforeseen judicial ousters could shift probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоAn announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Daniel Noboa's commanding victory in Ecuador's April 2024 security referendum, where over 60% approved his anti-gang measures including extraditions and military deployments, has bolstered his leadership and quelled removal speculation, fueling 95.5% trader odds against him exiting office by June 30. No impeachment proceedings advance in the National Assembly, his mandate remains intact until May 2025, and Supreme Court rulings have upheld key policies amid persistent narcotrafficking violence. High confidence stems from this political stability and public backing, though improbable scenarios like intensified protests forcing resignation or unforeseen judicial ousters could shift probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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