Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 69.5% for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the depth of elite classical chess preparation where both players, tied at 0.5 points after two rounds, prioritize solidity amid pressure to chase leaders Caruana, Praggnanandhaa, and Sindarov (1.5 points each). Nakamura's marginal win probability edge (29% over Giri's 28%) aligns with his top ELO (2810 vs. Giri's 2753) and superior historical field score (54.6% vs. Giri's 50.5%), bolstered by rebounding from a Round 1 loss to Caruana with a Round 2 draw against Esipenko, while Giri drew Caruana yesterday in a tense encounter showcasing his renowned defensive resilience.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоDraw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri) 79%
Hikaru Nakamura 42%
Anish Giri 20%
Hikaru Nakamura
42%
Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri)
81%
Anish Giri
20%
Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri) 79%
Hikaru Nakamura 42%
Anish Giri 20%
Hikaru Nakamura
42%
Draw (Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri)
81%
Anish Giri
20%
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 69.5% for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Anish Giri in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the depth of elite classical chess preparation where both players, tied at 0.5 points after two rounds, prioritize solidity amid pressure to chase leaders Caruana, Praggnanandhaa, and Sindarov (1.5 points each). Nakamura's marginal win probability edge (29% over Giri's 28%) aligns with his top ELO (2810 vs. Giri's 2753) and superior historical field score (54.6% vs. Giri's 50.5%), bolstered by rebounding from a Round 1 loss to Caruana with a Round 2 draw against Esipenko, while Giri drew Caruana yesterday in a tense encounter showcasing his renowned defensive resilience.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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