Fabiano Caruana leads trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2026 FIDE Candidates winner, anchored by his world No. 2 classical rating and runner-up finish in the 2024 tournament, positioning him strongly in the ongoing qualification cycle via the FIDE Circuit. Hikaru Nakamura trails at 19%, fueled by perennial top-5 rankings and recent victories in elite rapid events that highlight his match endurance. Young risers Javokhir Sindarov (15.5%) and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (12.5%) reflect buzz from breakout performances, including Sindarov's Sharjah Masters triumph and Pragg's upsets against top GMs. Anish Giri (9.5%) and Wei Yi (8.5%) draw support from steady Continental Championship contention, while Esipenko and Bluebaum trail on weaker recent form amid fluid paths like the Grand Swiss.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоFabiano Caruana 31%
Hikaru Nakamura 19%
Javokhir Sindarov 16%
Praggnanandhaa R 13%
$494,336 Объем
$494,336 Объем
Fabiano Caruana
31%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Javokhir Sindarov
16%
Praggnanandhaa R
13%
Anish Giri
10%
Wei Yi
9%
Andrey Esipenko
3%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Fabiano Caruana 31%
Hikaru Nakamura 19%
Javokhir Sindarov 16%
Praggnanandhaa R 13%
$494,336 Объем
$494,336 Объем
Fabiano Caruana
31%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Javokhir Sindarov
16%
Praggnanandhaa R
13%
Anish Giri
10%
Wei Yi
9%
Andrey Esipenko
3%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Fabiano Caruana leads trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2026 FIDE Candidates winner, anchored by his world No. 2 classical rating and runner-up finish in the 2024 tournament, positioning him strongly in the ongoing qualification cycle via the FIDE Circuit. Hikaru Nakamura trails at 19%, fueled by perennial top-5 rankings and recent victories in elite rapid events that highlight his match endurance. Young risers Javokhir Sindarov (15.5%) and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (12.5%) reflect buzz from breakout performances, including Sindarov's Sharjah Masters triumph and Pragg's upsets against top GMs. Anish Giri (9.5%) and Wei Yi (8.5%) draw support from steady Continental Championship contention, while Esipenko and Bluebaum trail on weaker recent form amid fluid paths like the Grand Swiss.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы