Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 70% implied probability for Bluebaum vs. Esipenko in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the solid defenses on display in the double round-robin format where all four Round 2 games ended level on March 30. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with draws against Wei Yi and Javokhir Sindarov, accumulating 1 point from 2, while Esipenko salvaged a crucial half-point draw versus Hikaru Nakamura after his Round 1 loss to Sindarov, sitting at 0.5/2. The evenly matched grandmasters—both rated 2698—enter with Bluebaum holding white's slight initiative, but traders price competitive win chances near 28% each amid Candidates-level caution prioritizing stability over risks early in the 14-round event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоDraw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko) 70%
Andrey Esipenko 34%
Matthias Bluebaum 28%
Matthias Bluebaum
28%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko)
70%
Andrey Esipenko
34%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko) 70%
Andrey Esipenko 34%
Matthias Bluebaum 28%
Matthias Bluebaum
28%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko)
70%
Andrey Esipenko
34%
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Источник определения исхода
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a draw at 70% implied probability for Bluebaum vs. Esipenko in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 3, reflecting the solid defenses on display in the double round-robin format where all four Round 2 games ended level on March 30. Bluebaum remains unbeaten with draws against Wei Yi and Javokhir Sindarov, accumulating 1 point from 2, while Esipenko salvaged a crucial half-point draw versus Hikaru Nakamura after his Round 1 loss to Sindarov, sitting at 0.5/2. The evenly matched grandmasters—both rated 2698—enter with Bluebaum holding white's slight initiative, but traders price competitive win chances near 28% each amid Candidates-level caution prioritizing stability over risks early in the 14-round event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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