Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМерседес 74%
Макларен 15.4%
Феррари 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,406 Объем
$15,814,406 Объем
6 дек. 2026 г.
Мерседес
74%
Макларен
15%
Феррари
8%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Астон Мартин
1%
Ауди
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Хаас
1%
Alpine
1%
Уильямс
<1%
Кадиллак
<1%
Мерседес 74%
Макларен 15.4%
Феррари 8%
Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$15,814,406 Объем
$15,814,406 Объем
6 дек. 2026 г.
Мерседес
$597,070 Объем
74%
Макларен
$1,409,113 Объем
15%
Феррари
$309,528 Объем
8%
Red Bull Racing
$542,043 Объем
2%
Астон Мартин
$1,898,571 Объем
1%
Ауди
$1,815,070 Объем
1%
Racing Bulls
$1,747,940 Объем
1%
Хаас
$1,925,597 Объем
1%
Alpine
$1,928,831 Объем
1%
Уильямс
$2,046,207 Объем
<1%
Кадиллак
$1,594,437 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Объем
$15,814,406Дата окончания
6 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Объем
$15,814,406Дата окончания
6 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 180 points after four Grands Prix, driving trader consensus to imply a 73.5% probability of clinching the title, bolstered by rookie Kimi Antonelli's dominant wins in Japan and Miami alongside George Russell's consistent podiums. The Miami GP three days ago saw Antonelli victorious, with McLaren's double podium (Lando Norris second, Oscar Piastri third) narrowing Ferrari's gap to just 16 points at 94-110 but failing to dent Mercedes' 70-point buffer. New active aerodynamics and power unit regulations have favored Mercedes' package, while Red Bull struggles with only 30 points amid reliability woes, positioning chasers like McLaren (15.4%) as realistic but distant threats barring major Mercedes setbacks over the remaining 20+ races.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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