Trader consensus prices Mercedes as overwhelming 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship favorite at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting their late-2024 surge with George Russell's wins in Las Vegas and Qatar Grand Prix plus consistent podiums in Abu Dhabi testing, signaling strong car development momentum into next year's stable power unit era. Ferrari trails at 14.5% despite Lewis Hamilton's blockbuster switch to pair with Charles Leclerc, as their inconsistent pace and reliability woes persist amid recent DNFs and qualifying struggles. McLaren's 3.4% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's title-contending form but potential regulatory tweaks favoring Mercedes' setup; Red Bull's 2.4% accounts for Adrian Newey's departure and Sergio Perez's exit, weakening their podium reliability despite Max Verstappen's dominance. New entrants like Audi and Cadillac garner slim 0.5% each amid unproven transitions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМерседес 76%
Феррари 14%
Макларен 4.5%
Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$6,995,529 Объем
$6,995,529 Объем
Dec 6, 2026
Мерседес
76%
Феррари
14%
Макларен
5%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Астон Мартин
1%
Ауди
1%
Кадиллак
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Хаас
1%
Alpine
1%
Уильямс
<1%
Мерседес 76%
Феррари 14%
Макларен 4.5%
Red Bull Racing 2.3%
$6,995,529 Объем
$6,995,529 Объем
Dec 6, 2026
Мерседес
$491,752 Объем
76%
Феррари
$239,846 Объем
14%
Макларен
$825,756 Объем
5%
Red Bull Racing
$296,796 Объем
2%
Астон Мартин
$511,533 Объем
1%
Ауди
$442,266 Объем
1%
Кадиллак
$879,771 Объем
1%
Racing Bulls
$765,883 Объем
1%
Хаас
$909,802 Объем
1%
Alpine
$863,648 Объем
1%
Уильямс
$771,757 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Trader consensus prices Mercedes as overwhelming 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship favorite at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting their late-2024 surge with George Russell's wins in Las Vegas and Qatar Grand Prix plus consistent podiums in Abu Dhabi testing, signaling strong car development momentum into next year's stable power unit era. Ferrari trails at 14.5% despite Lewis Hamilton's blockbuster switch to pair with Charles Leclerc, as their inconsistent pace and reliability woes persist amid recent DNFs and qualifying struggles. McLaren's 3.4% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's title-contending form but potential regulatory tweaks favoring Mercedes' setup; Red Bull's 2.4% accounts for Adrian Newey's departure and Sergio Perez's exit, weakening their podium reliability despite Max Verstappen's dominance. New entrants like Audi and Cadillac garner slim 0.5% each amid unproven transitions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Объем
$6,995,529Дата окончания
Dec 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Trader consensus prices Mercedes as overwhelming 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship favorite at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting their late-2024 surge with George Russell's wins in Las Vegas and Qatar Grand Prix plus consistent podiums in Abu Dhabi testing, signaling strong car development momentum into next year's stable power unit era. Ferrari trails at 14.5% despite Lewis Hamilton's blockbuster switch to pair with Charles Leclerc, as their inconsistent pace and reliability woes persist amid recent DNFs and qualifying struggles. McLaren's 3.4% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's title-contending form but potential regulatory tweaks favoring Mercedes' setup; Red Bull's 2.4% accounts for Adrian Newey's departure and Sergio Perez's exit, weakening their podium reliability despite Max Verstappen's dominance. New entrants like Audi and Cadillac garner slim 0.5% each amid unproven transitions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Объем
$6,995,529Дата окончания
Dec 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Mercedes as overwhelming 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship favorite at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting their late-2024 surge with George Russell's wins in Las Vegas and Qatar Grand Prix plus consistent podiums in Abu Dhabi testing, signaling strong car development momentum into next year's stable power unit era. Ferrari trails at 14.5% despite Lewis Hamilton's blockbuster switch to pair with Charles Leclerc, as their inconsistent pace and reliability woes persist amid recent DNFs and qualifying struggles. McLaren's 3.4% reflects Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri's title-contending form but potential regulatory tweaks favoring Mercedes' setup; Red Bull's 2.4% accounts for Adrian Newey's departure and Sergio Perez's exit, weakening their podium reliability despite Max Verstappen's dominance. New entrants like Audi and Cadillac garner slim 0.5% each amid unproven transitions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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