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>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$19,016 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$19,016 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$19,016
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2025, 2:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$19,016
Дата окончания
16 апр. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2025, 2:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«ChatGPT o3 released today?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «ChatGPT o3 released today?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19K с момента запуска рынка Apr 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «ChatGPT o3 released today?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «ChatGPT o3 released today?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «ChatGPT o3 released today?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.