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Политика·Калифорния

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

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Политика·Калифорния

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

15% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
15% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. California Assembly Bill 2624, dubbed the "Stop Nick Shirley Act" by critics, advanced through initial committees in mid-April 2026 despite Republican motions to kill it, reflecting Democratic support as a priority for the Legislative Latino Caucus authored by Assemblymember Mia Bonta. The measure, which expands address confidentiality via the Safe at Home program for immigration support services providers facing threats, has sparked backlash over potential restrictions on posting images or personal information of workers at state-funded facilities, prompting defenses from Bonta and a Snopes fact-check clarifying it targets harassment intent rather than journalism. With amendments as recent as April 9 and an upcoming Assembly Public Safety Committee hearing, traders price an 84.5% "No" probability by June 30 due to the compressed timeline for floor votes, Senate passage, and gubernatorial approval amid partisan opposition and free speech concerns.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$50
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. California Assembly Bill 2624, dubbed the "Stop Nick Shirley Act" by critics, advanced through initial committees in mid-April 2026 despite Republican motions to kill it, reflecting Democratic support as a priority for the Legislative Latino Caucus authored by Assemblymember Mia Bonta. The measure, which expands address confidentiality via the Safe at Home program for immigration support services providers facing threats, has sparked backlash over potential restrictions on posting images or personal information of workers at state-funded facilities, prompting defenses from Bonta and a Snopes fact-check clarifying it targets harassment intent rather than journalism. With amendments as recent as April 9 and an upcoming Assembly Public Safety Committee hearing, traders price an 84.5% "No" probability by June 30 due to the compressed timeline for floor votes, Senate passage, and gubernatorial approval amid partisan opposition and free speech concerns.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$50
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 14% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 14¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 16, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?» составляет 14% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.