The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 Объем
$3,002,585 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
Yes
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,002,585 Объем
$3,002,585 Объем
4 сент. 2026 г.
<20
$1,826 Объем
No
20-39
$2,940 Объем
No
40-59
$22,684 Объем
No
60-79
$53,930 Объем
No
80-99
$64,073 Объем
No
100-119
$56,289 Объем
No
120-139
$92,074 Объем
No
140-159
$204,620 Объем
No
160-179
$287,835 Объем
No
180-199
$292,666 Объем
No
200-219
$316,037 Объем
No
220-239
$295,301 Объем
Yes
240-259
$353,336 Объем
No
260-279
$214,354 Объем
No
280-299
$171,545 Объем
No
300-319
$152,609 Объем
No
320-339
$123,321 Объем
No
340-359
$74,586 Объем
No
360-379
$45,415 Объем
No
380-399
$30,194 Объем
No
400-419
$28,412 Объем
No
420-439
$19,228 Объем
No
440-459
$11,776 Объем
No
460-479
$10,528 Объем
No
480-499
$9,607 Объем
No
500+
$67,398 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$3,002,585Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,002,585Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The market shows near-certainty around 220-239 tweets for Elon Musk from August 28 through September 4, 2026, reflecting the tracking window's imminent close and a steady posting cadence that has locked in that range. Traders have priced in Elon's typical daily volume on X, influenced by ongoing business updates, policy commentary, and real-time reactions without any major spikes from unexpected events. Historical patterns of consistent but not extreme activity during similar periods reinforce this consensus. An upset into higher brackets would require an uncharacteristic late-week surge, such as rapid-fire responses to breaking news or viral threads, though the current trajectory makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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