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Next James Bond actor?

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Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

Jack Lowdon 11.7%

Tom Holland 11.3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Callum Turner 43%

Jacob Elordi 12%

Jack Lowdon 11.7%

Tom Holland 11.3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Callum Turner

$153 Объем

35%

Jacob Elordi

$106 Объем

12%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Объем

12%

Tom Holland

$87 Объем

11%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Объем

11%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Объем

9%

No Bond chosen

$96 Объем

9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$338 Объем

7%

James Norton

$90 Объем

5%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Объем

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Объем

5%

Theo James

$174 Объем

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Объем

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Объем

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Объем

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Объем

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s leading 35.5% market-implied probability reflects sustained betting momentum and media speculation that intensified in late 2025 and early 2026, when reports positioned the *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts* actor as the “red hot” favorite among British candidates suited to a younger, edgier reboot. The May 2026 official confirmation that Amazon MGM Studios and casting director Nina Gold had begun auditions for the next 007 kept Turner’s name at the forefront without delivering confirmation. Secondary contenders such as Jack Lowden, Jacob Elordi, and James Norton trail due to comparatively thinner verified buzz, while the process’s inherent secrecy and lack of guild or precursor signals leave room for late shifts before any announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,078
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s leading 35.5% market-implied probability reflects sustained betting momentum and media speculation that intensified in late 2025 and early 2026, when reports positioned the *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts* actor as the “red hot” favorite among British candidates suited to a younger, edgier reboot. The May 2026 official confirmation that Amazon MGM Studios and casting director Nina Gold had begun auditions for the next 007 kept Turner’s name at the forefront without delivering confirmation. Secondary contenders such as Jack Lowden, Jacob Elordi, and James Norton trail due to comparatively thinner verified buzz, while the process’s inherent secrecy and lack of guild or precursor signals leave room for late shifts before any announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,078
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next James Bond actor?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Callum Turner» с 35%, за ним следует «Jacob Elordi» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 35¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Next James Bond actor?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Next James Bond actor?», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next James Bond actor?» — «Callum Turner» с 35%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jacob Elordi» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next James Bond actor?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.