Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting its world No. 1 FIFA ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and dominant UEFA qualifiers featuring young stars like Lamine Yamal. Recent UEFA playoff results—England's emphatic 5-0 rout of Latvia, Italy's 3-0 win over Israel, and Portugal's resilient draw with Hungary—highlight European depth, keeping England, France, and Germany competitive. France sharpened ahead of the tournament with a 3-1 friendly victory over Colombia on March 29, while defending champions Argentina and traditional powerhouse Brazil maintain strong CONMEBOL form despite aging cores. The expanded 48-team format and draw protections separating top seeds until semifinals foster a tightly bunched field, with no outcome exceeding 16% implied probability amid widespread squad parity and injury-free preparations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 15.4%
Англия 12.8%
Франция 11.1%
Аргентина 9.8%
$428,595,063 Объем
$428,595,063 Объем
Испания
15%
Англия
13%
Франция
11%
Аргентина
10%
Бразилия
9%
Португалия
7%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
3%
Италия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Япония
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Канада
1%
Австрия
1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Иран
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Испания 15.4%
Англия 12.8%
Франция 11.1%
Аргентина 9.8%
$428,595,063 Объем
$428,595,063 Объем
Испания
15%
Англия
13%
Франция
11%
Аргентина
10%
Бразилия
9%
Португалия
7%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
3%
Норвегия
3%
Италия
2%
Бельгия
2%
Колумбия
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Япония
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Хорватия
1%
Швейцария
1%
Эквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Канада
1%
Австрия
1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Тунис
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Иран
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner, reflecting its world No. 1 FIFA ranking, Euro 2024 triumph, and dominant UEFA qualifiers featuring young stars like Lamine Yamal. Recent UEFA playoff results—England's emphatic 5-0 rout of Latvia, Italy's 3-0 win over Israel, and Portugal's resilient draw with Hungary—highlight European depth, keeping England, France, and Germany competitive. France sharpened ahead of the tournament with a 3-1 friendly victory over Colombia on March 29, while defending champions Argentina and traditional powerhouse Brazil maintain strong CONMEBOL form despite aging cores. The expanded 48-team format and draw protections separating top seeds until semifinals foster a tightly bunched field, with no outcome exceeding 16% implied probability amid widespread squad parity and injury-free preparations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы