With 42 nations already secured for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup—including all group winners from AFC (8), CAF (9), CONCACAF (6, hosts included), CONMEBOL (6), OFC (1), and UEFA (12)—trader focus centers on the UEFA play-offs and inter-confederation play-off tournament determining the final six spots. March 26 semi-finals propelled Italy (2-0 over Northern Ireland), Bosnia & Herzegovina (pens vs. Wales), Sweden (3-1 vs. Ukraine), Kosovo (4-3 ET vs. Slovakia), Czechia (pens vs. Rep. of Ireland), and others to March 31 finals against Denmark, Poland, Turkey, etc., boosting their implied probabilities amid historical pedigree and form. Intercontinental semis saw Jamaica edge New Caledonia 1-0 and Bolivia defeat Suriname 2-1 on March 27, setting finals vs. Congo DR and Iraq; upsets remain viable given knockout volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,469,349 Объем
Италия
77%
Турция
68%
ДР Конго
66%
Швеция
65%
Дания
62%
Ирак
53%
Боливия
49%
Чехия
39%
Польша
37%
Ямайка
36%
Косово
34%
Босния и Герцеговина
25%
$1,469,349 Объем
Италия
77%
Турция
68%
ДР Конго
66%
Швеция
65%
Дания
62%
Ирак
53%
Боливия
49%
Чехия
39%
Польша
37%
Ямайка
36%
Косово
34%
Босния и Герцеговина
25%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2025, 8:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...With 42 nations already secured for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup—including all group winners from AFC (8), CAF (9), CONCACAF (6, hosts included), CONMEBOL (6), OFC (1), and UEFA (12)—trader focus centers on the UEFA play-offs and inter-confederation play-off tournament determining the final six spots. March 26 semi-finals propelled Italy (2-0 over Northern Ireland), Bosnia & Herzegovina (pens vs. Wales), Sweden (3-1 vs. Ukraine), Kosovo (4-3 ET vs. Slovakia), Czechia (pens vs. Rep. of Ireland), and others to March 31 finals against Denmark, Poland, Turkey, etc., boosting their implied probabilities amid historical pedigree and form. Intercontinental semis saw Jamaica edge New Caledonia 1-0 and Bolivia defeat Suriname 2-1 on March 27, setting finals vs. Congo DR and Iraq; upsets remain viable given knockout volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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