Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a razor-thin race among Kylian Mbappé (25.5%), Harry Kane (24.3%), and Lamine Yamal (23.5%), driven by their explosive early 2024/25 club form amid the long runway to the FIFA World Cup. Mbappé's seamless integration at Real Madrid, with multiple goals including in Champions League qualifiers, has traders pricing him as marginal favorite despite adaptation questions. Kane's relentless Bundesliga scoring for Bayern Munich—already in double digits—sustains his bid, while 17-year-old Yamal's assists and flair anchor Barcelona's La Liga lead and echo his Euro 2024 breakout. This clustering underscores uncertainty over sustained dominance, international tournaments, and club silverware paths, keeping Vinícius Júnior (8.3%) and others as credible longshots in a hyper-competitive field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолотоймяч 2026
Золотоймяч 2026
Килиан Мбаппе 26%
Харри Кейн 24.3%
Ламин Ямал 24%
Винисиус Жуниор 8.3%
$1,273,269 Объем
$1,273,269 Объем
Oct 31, 2026
Килиан Мбаппе
26%
Харри Кейн
24%
Ламин Ямал
24%
Винисиус Жуниор
8%
Педри
4%
Джуд Беллингем
4%
Коул Палмер
3%
Усман Дембеле
2%
Эрлинг Холанд
2%
Мохамед Салах
1%
Килиан Мбаппе 26%
Харри Кейн 24.3%
Ламин Ямал 24%
Винисиус Жуниор 8.3%
$1,273,269 Объем
$1,273,269 Объем
Oct 31, 2026
Килиан Мбаппе
$60,846 Объем
26%
Харри Кейн
$335,371 Объем
24%
Ламин Ямал
$34,065 Объем
24%
Винисиус Жуниор
$283,533 Объем
8%
Педри
$0 Объем
4%
Джуд Беллингем
$174,129 Объем
4%
Коул Палмер
$0 Объем
3%
Усман Дембеле
$178,235 Объем
2%
Эрлинг Холанд
$207,091 Объем
2%
Мохамед Салах
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$1,273,269Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Объем
$1,273,269Дата окончания
Oct 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a razor-thin race among Kylian Mbappé (25.5%), Harry Kane (24.3%), and Lamine Yamal (23.5%), driven by their explosive early 2024/25 club form amid the long runway to the FIFA World Cup. Mbappé's seamless integration at Real Madrid, with multiple goals including in Champions League qualifiers, has traders pricing him as marginal favorite despite adaptation questions. Kane's relentless Bundesliga scoring for Bayern Munich—already in double digits—sustains his bid, while 17-year-old Yamal's assists and flair anchor Barcelona's La Liga lead and echo his Euro 2024 breakout. This clustering underscores uncertainty over sustained dominance, international tournaments, and club silverware paths, keeping Vinícius Júnior (8.3%) and others as credible longshots in a hyper-competitive field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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