Trader consensus heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 70% implied probability for the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, driven by its explosive iOS launch on March 20, which propelled downloads amid viral AI hype and minimal competition from established rivals. Screenshots circulating on social media confirm Claude's rapid ascent past #10 into the top three, outpacing ChatGPT (7.5%) and Google Gemini (1.6%) despite their name recognition. March Madness fervor boosted NCAA March Madness Live (16.3%), CBS Sports (13.4%), and ESPN Tournament Challenge (2.6%) during the tournament's early rounds, while Freecash (10.6%) rode reward-app virality; however, no verified rankings yet contradict Claude's lead as the key catalyst shifting odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Claude by Anthropic 78%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 13.2%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 10.6%
NCAA March Madness Live 9.4%

Claude by Anthropic
70%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
13%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
11%

NCAA March Madness Live
17%

ChatGPT
7%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
3%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%

Google Gemini
2%
Claude by Anthropic 78%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 13.2%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 10.6%
NCAA March Madness Live 9.4%

Claude by Anthropic
70%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
13%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
11%

NCAA March Madness Live
17%

ChatGPT
7%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
3%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%

Google Gemini
2%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
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0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 70% implied probability for the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, driven by its explosive iOS launch on March 20, which propelled downloads amid viral AI hype and minimal competition from established rivals. Screenshots circulating on social media confirm Claude's rapid ascent past #10 into the top three, outpacing ChatGPT (7.5%) and Google Gemini (1.6%) despite their name recognition. March Madness fervor boosted NCAA March Madness Live (16.3%), CBS Sports (13.4%), and ESPN Tournament Challenge (2.6%) during the tournament's early rounds, while Freecash (10.6%) rode reward-app virality; however, no verified rankings yet contradict Claude's lead as the key catalyst shifting odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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