Trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability on a draw in this UEFA Europa League quarter-final second leg at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, reflecting expectations of cautious play amid Celta de Vigo's home advantage offset by a severe midfield injury crisis—Ilaix Moriba, Matías Vecino, and Miguel Román sidelined, with star forward Iago Aspas out until early June via Achilles tendon issue. Celta's 40.5% edge over Freiburg's 21% stems from recent knockout momentum, including a 3-1 aggregate win over Lyon, though mixed La Liga form (LWDDLW) tempers offense. Freiburg, bolstered by strong Bundesliga results (WWLLDL) and defensive resilience despite absences like Max Rosenfelder, enters as competitive away underdogs in their deepest European run, with no prior head-to-head fueling tight pricing ahead of the first leg on April 9.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If RC Celta de Vigo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If RC Celta de Vigo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a 50% implied probability on a draw in this UEFA Europa League quarter-final second leg at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, reflecting expectations of cautious play amid Celta de Vigo's home advantage offset by a severe midfield injury crisis—Ilaix Moriba, Matías Vecino, and Miguel Román sidelined, with star forward Iago Aspas out until early June via Achilles tendon issue. Celta's 40.5% edge over Freiburg's 21% stems from recent knockout momentum, including a 3-1 aggregate win over Lyon, though mixed La Liga form (LWDDLW) tempers offense. Freiburg, bolstered by strong Bundesliga results (WWLLDL) and defensive resilience despite absences like Max Rosenfelder, enters as competitive away underdogs in their deepest European run, with no prior head-to-head fueling tight pricing ahead of the first leg on April 9.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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