Lucro/Prejuízo
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Kash Patel out by December 31?
No 22¢
5,000.0 quotas$3,100.00$1,999.60 (181.72%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 76¢
1,000.0 quotas76¢
88.5¢
$885.00$125.00 (16.45%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 76¢
1,000.0 quotas$885.00$125.00 (16.45%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
No 37¢
1,500.0 quotas$734.99$180.00 (32.43%)
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
No 94.6¢
700.0 quotas$685.65$23.45 (3.54%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 17¢
5,000.0 quotas17¢
13.5¢
$675.00-$175.00 (-20.59%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 17¢
5,000.0 quotas$675.00-$175.00 (-20.59%)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
No 46¢
502.2 quotas46¢
91.5¢
$459.51$228.50 (98.91%)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
No 46¢
502.2 quotas$459.51$228.50 (98.91%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 11.2¢
18,535.0 quotas11.2¢
2.5¢
$454.11-$1,622.53 (-78.13%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 11.2¢
18,535.0 quotas$454.11-$1,622.53 (-78.13%)

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 14¢
500.0 quotas14¢
63¢
$315.00$245.00 (350%)

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 14¢
500.0 quotas$315.00$245.00 (350%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Yes 22¢
2,000.0 quotas22¢
11.5¢
$230.00-$210.00 (-47.73%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Yes 22¢
2,000.0 quotas$230.00-$210.00 (-47.73%)

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
No 10¢
570.4 quotas$85.55$28.52 (50%)

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 35¢
200.0 quotas$84.00$14.00 (20%)
