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Notas previsões e probabilidades

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Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?

Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?

42%

31 de dezembro

$3M Vol.

$198K today

$2M Liq.

76

Ends em 2 meses

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

8%

$17.3K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

83%

Bev Craig

$6.7K Vol.

$161K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$42.8K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 3 dias

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

71%

$933 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

99%

40-45%

$37.1K Vol.

$80.6K Liq.

3

Ends há 27 dias

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

96%

70-75%

$17.1K Vol.

$63.5K Liq.

1

Ends há 18 dias

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

26%

125-130m

$8.0K Vol.

$84.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

100%

40-45%

$14.7K Vol.

$80.1K Liq.

4

Ends há 27 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

135

Ends em 6 meses

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

50%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$54.9K Vol.

$139K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$504K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

33

Ends em mais de 1 ano

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

4%

↑ 0.12

$7.0K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

2%

June 30

$168K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

10

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 29?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 29?

98%

$705

$716 Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

25%

↑ $3

$708K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

3%

↓ 60

$3M Vol.

$90.2K today

$437K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

What will the announcers say during Turkiye vs USA World Cup Match?

What will the announcers say during Turkiye vs USA World Cup Match?

10%

Penalty Shootout

$30.8K Vol.

$12 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 10 horas

What price will BNB hit in June?

What price will BNB hit in June?

31%

↓ 500

$37.1K Vol.

$86.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

3%

↑ 80

$142K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Notas.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Notas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump on $250 bill this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Notas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.