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Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?

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Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?

This is a market on UK inflation over the 12 month period ending September 2022 as measured by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CIPH), from September 2021 to September 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CIPH is 8.9% or more in September 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the figure provided by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS), found at https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/l55o/mm23. The specific data point used will be titled "SEP 2022", which is found on the graph titled "CPIH ANNUAL RATE 00: ALL ITEMS 2015=100", and on the table view for the row with period "SEP 2022". The release of the September 2022's CIPH is scheduled for October 19, 2022.

This is a market on UK inflation over the 12 month period ending September 2022 as measured by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CIPH), from September 2021 to September 2022. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CIPH is 8.9% or more in September 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the figure provided by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS), found at https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/l55o/mm23. The specific data point used will be titled "SEP 2022", which is found on the graph titled "CPIH ANNUAL RATE 00: ALL ITEMS 2015=100", and on the table view for the row with period "SEP 2022". The release of the September 2022's CIPH is scheduled for October 19, 2022.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 30, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.