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Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

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Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name 19 or more storms during the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names 19 or more storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 19 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it are included in NOAA’s count. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. This market may only resolve to "No" after December 2, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not occurred before then.

This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name 19 or more storms during the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names 19 or more storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 19 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it are included in NOAA’s count. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. This market may only resolve to "No" after December 2, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not occurred before then.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?" has generated $13.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.