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Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?

Market icon

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?

This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between August 25, 2022 and September 30, 2022 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,500,000 for any day between August 25, 2022 and September 30, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for September 30, 2022 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of September 30, 2022 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from August 25, 2022 to September 30, 2022, by October 7, 2022, the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates August 25, 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for September 30, 2022 will be considered.

This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day between August 25, 2022 and September 30, 2022 (inclusive). The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,500,000 for any day between August 25, 2022 and September 30, 2022 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until data for September 30, 2022 is available. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of September 30, 2022 or on any date before that if the target number is reached within the market timeframe. If the target number has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from August 25, 2022 to September 30, 2022, by October 7, 2022, the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates August 25, 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for September 30, 2022 will be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by September 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.