Market icon

Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?

Market icon

Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?

Don Young, ex-representative from Alaska, died on March 18, 2022 after 49 years of unbroken service as the US House representative for Alaska's at-large congressional district. This triggered an Alaskan special election to fill his vacated seat. Mary Peltola, Democrat and ex-Member of the Alaska House of Representatives, defeated Republican and former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin in this special election, and is now seeking to win a full term as Alaska's at-large congresswoman in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 8, 2022 general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Alaska's at-large district Mary Peltola wins the election for Alaska's at-large congressional seat in the U.S. House of Representatives scheduled to take place November 8, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Determination of the winner for the 2022 November 8 election for the U.S. House Representative from Alaska will be based on a consensus of credible reporting; or, if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results. If no election for U.S. House Representative from Alaska is held by November 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Don Young, ex-representative from Alaska, died on March 18, 2022 after 49 years of unbroken service as the US House representative for Alaska's at-large congressional district. This triggered an Alaskan special election to fill his vacated seat. Mary Peltola, Democrat and ex-Member of the Alaska House of Representatives, defeated Republican and former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin in this special election, and is now seeking to win a full term as Alaska's at-large congresswoman in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 8, 2022 general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Alaska's at-large district Mary Peltola wins the election for Alaska's at-large congressional seat in the U.S. House of Representatives scheduled to take place November 8, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Determination of the winner for the 2022 November 8 election for the U.S. House Representative from Alaska will be based on a consensus of credible reporting; or, if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results. If no election for U.S. House Representative from Alaska is held by November 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?" has generated $34.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 16, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.