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Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?

Market icon

Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?

0% chance
Polymarket

$23,560 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$23,560 Vol.

On January 2 Maersk announced it would pause shipping through the Red Sea until further notice after another one of its vessels was attacked. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces by January 15, 2024 ET that they will resume shipping through the Red Sea. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note that an announcement before the resolution date that Maersk will resume shipping through the Red Sea will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when or if their shipping resumes. The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

On January 2 Maersk announced it would pause shipping through the Red Sea until further notice after another one of its vessels was attacked. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maersk announces by January 15, 2024 ET that they will resume shipping through the Red Sea. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note that an announcement before the resolution date that Maersk will resume shipping through the Red Sea will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when or if their shipping resumes. The primary resolution source will be official information from Maersk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?" has generated $23.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.