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Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?

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Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?

This is a market on whether President Biden will mention "recession" or "recessions" during his press conference scheduled for May 10, 2022. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says "recession" or "recessions" at any point during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, an official transcript, and/or other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. References to a recession or recessions will not count toward a "Yes" resolution of this market - only the exact phrasing of "recession" or "recessions" will be considered (note that capitalization is not relevant for this market, only the spoken word). The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/c/WhiteHouse/videos.

This is a market on whether President Biden will mention "recession" or "recessions" during his press conference scheduled for May 10, 2022. This market concerns the speech and following Q&A, not later speeches in the day. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Biden says "recession" or "recessions" at any point during the speech and any following Q&A, as verified by live video, an official transcript, and/or other credible sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. References to a recession or recessions will not count toward a "Yes" resolution of this market - only the exact phrasing of "recession" or "recessions" will be considered (note that capitalization is not relevant for this market, only the spoken word). The conference can be watched live at https://www.youtube.com/c/WhiteHouse/videos.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 9, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Biden say "recession" in his Tuesday remarks on inflation?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.