Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Audemars Piguet prices reaching the target by April 30 leans bearish, with yes shares trading at around 25% implied probability, driven primarily by a 20% year-to-date plunge in the brand's secondary market price index amid softening global luxury demand. Chrono24 data shows popular Royal Oak models averaging $65,000, down from $85,000 peaks in 2022, pressured by China's economic slowdown and elevated interest rates curbing high-net-worth spending. Richemont's recent Q4 sales miss for jewelry/watches underscores sector headwinds. Key watch: April 10 CPI release—if softer than 3.4% expected—could boost rate cut odds, potentially stabilizing prices; otherwise, further downside risks persist into month-end resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoWill Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30?
Will Audemars Piguet prices hit __ by April 30?
$15,600 Vol.
↑ $44,000
9%
↑ $43,000
9%
↑ $42,500
9%
↑ $42,250
7%
↑ $42,000
10%
↑ $41,750
59%
↑ $41,500
68%
↓ $41,000
53%
↓ $40,750
45%
↓ $40,500
15%
↓ $40,250
13%
↓ $40,000
13%
↓ $39,000
7%
$15,600 Vol.
↑ $44,000
9%
↑ $43,000
9%
↑ $42,500
9%
↑ $42,250
7%
↑ $42,000
10%
↑ $41,750
59%
↑ $41,500
68%
↓ $41,000
53%
↓ $40,750
45%
↓ $40,500
15%
↓ $40,250
13%
↓ $40,000
13%
↓ $39,000
7%
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Audemars Piguet Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Audemars Piguet chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Audemars Piguet prices reaching the target by April 30 leans bearish, with yes shares trading at around 25% implied probability, driven primarily by a 20% year-to-date plunge in the brand's secondary market price index amid softening global luxury demand. Chrono24 data shows popular Royal Oak models averaging $65,000, down from $85,000 peaks in 2022, pressured by China's economic slowdown and elevated interest rates curbing high-net-worth spending. Richemont's recent Q4 sales miss for jewelry/watches underscores sector headwinds. Key watch: April 10 CPI release—if softer than 3.4% expected—could boost rate cut odds, potentially stabilizing prices; otherwise, further downside risks persist into month-end resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions