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Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?

Market icon

Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day.

The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,154
Data de Término
3 ago 2022
Mercado Aberto
Jul 21, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day.

The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,154
Data de Término
3 ago 2022
Mercado Aberto
Jul 21, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 22, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.