Trader consensus heavily favors Petr Yan at 60% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next bout, driven by their 1-1 rivalry—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's title-capturing victory over him at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili reiterated in early March 2026 interviews his intent to wait exclusively for the trilogy, bypassing other contenders amid ongoing negotiations. Umar Nurmagomedov trails at 35% as the surging unbeaten prospect Dvalishvili previously decisioned in a title defense, positioning him as prime next challenger if rematch stalls. Alexander Volkanovski and Sean O'Malley hover around 29% due to superfight intrigue and O'Malley's prior title loss to Dvalishvili, though recent sparring nose injury raises slight delay risks without shifting top sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoUmar Nurmagomedov 34.1%
Song Yadong 21.8%
Rob Font 15.3%
Alexandre Pantoja 2.4%
$11,312 Vol.
$11,312 Vol.
Umar Nurmagomedov
34%
Song Yadong
22%
Rob Font
15%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Ricky Simón
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan
55%
Alexander Volkanovski
29%
Sean O'Malley
28%
Umar Nurmagomedov 34.1%
Song Yadong 21.8%
Rob Font 15.3%
Alexandre Pantoja 2.4%
$11,312 Vol.
$11,312 Vol.
Umar Nurmagomedov
34%
Song Yadong
22%
Rob Font
15%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Ricky Simón
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan
55%
Alexander Volkanovski
29%
Sean O'Malley
28%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Petr Yan at 60% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next bout, driven by their 1-1 rivalry—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win followed by Yan's title-capturing victory over him at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili reiterated in early March 2026 interviews his intent to wait exclusively for the trilogy, bypassing other contenders amid ongoing negotiations. Umar Nurmagomedov trails at 35% as the surging unbeaten prospect Dvalishvili previously decisioned in a title defense, positioning him as prime next challenger if rematch stalls. Alexander Volkanovski and Sean O'Malley hover around 29% due to superfight intrigue and O'Malley's prior title loss to Dvalishvili, though recent sparring nose injury raises slight delay risks without shifting top sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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