Market icon
Economia·Esconder Do Novo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

Market icon
Economia·Esconder Do Novo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

575 - 580k 39.1%

580 - 585k 28.6%

590 - 595k 6.0%

570 - 575k 2.9%

Polymarket

$14,269 Vol.

575 - 580k 39.1%

580 - 585k 28.6%

590 - 595k 6.0%

570 - 575k 2.9%

Polymarket

$14,269 Vol.

<570k

$1,310 Vol.

2%

570 - 575k

$944 Vol.

3%

575 - 580k

$1,464 Vol.

39%

580 - 585k

$1,582 Vol.

27%

585 - 590k

$3,477 Vol.

2%

590 - 595k

$2,320 Vol.

8%

595 - 600k

$1,795 Vol.

1%

>600k

$1,379 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC median home value near $577,500 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split at 39.1% for 575-580k and 37.3% for 580-585k, reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index stability around $588k amid low transaction volume and modest price bounces from recent summer lows of roughly $535k. Steady mortgage rates near 6% and thawing homeowner lock-in effects have lifted inventory 10% year-over-year, tempering upward pressure despite 4.7% metro median sales gains to $748k in early March; spring rebound signals from Zillow add upside risk, but thin March data keeps the contest razor-close ahead of imminent resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC median home value near $577,500 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split at 39.1% for 575-580k and 37.3% for 580-585k, reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index stability around $588k amid low transaction volume and modest price bounces from recent summer lows of roughly $535k. Steady mortgage rates near 6% and thawing homeowner lock-in effects have lifted inventory 10% year-over-year, tempering upward pressure despite 4.7% metro median sales gains to $748k in early March; spring rebound signals from Zillow add upside risk, but thin March data keeps the contest razor-close ahead of imminent resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC median home value near $577,500 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split at 39.1% for 575-580k and 37.3% for 580-585k, reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index stability around $588k amid low transaction volume and modest price bounces from recent summer lows of roughly $535k. Steady mortgage rates near 6% and thawing homeowner lock-in effects have lifted inventory 10% year-over-year, tempering upward pressure despite 4.7% metro median sales gains to $748k in early March; spring rebound signals from Zillow add upside risk, but thin March data keeps the contest razor-close ahead of imminent resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC median home value near $577,500 for April 1, with implied probabilities tightly split at 39.1% for 575-580k and 37.3% for 580-585k, reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index stability around $588k amid low transaction volume and modest price bounces from recent summer lows of roughly $535k. Steady mortgage rates near 6% and thawing homeowner lock-in effects have lifted inventory 10% year-over-year, tempering upward pressure despite 4.7% metro median sales gains to $748k in early March; spring rebound signals from Zillow add upside risk, but thin March data keeps the contest razor-close ahead of imminent resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "575 - 580k" at 39%, followed by "580 - 585k" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" has generated $14.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" is "575 - 580k" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "580 - 585k" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.