Tesla traders on Polymarket are pricing a 55% implied probability for TSLA closing above $400 in March 2026, driven primarily by optimism around full self-driving (FSD) regulatory approvals and Cybercab production ramps following the October robotaxi unveil. Confirmed Q3 2024 deliveries hit 462,890 vehicles, beating revenue expectations at $25.2 billion despite a 6% YoY auto decline, with energy storage growth offsetting weakness. Market dynamics hinge on Q4 delivery beats (expected ~515k units) and January 29, 2025 earnings, amid Fed rate cuts supporting growth stocks; however, China EV competition and high 130x forward P/E introduce downside risks, with historical volatility implying wide outcome dispersion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?
O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?
$237,033 Vol.
↑ $570
<1%
↑ US$ 533
<1%
↑ $503
<1%
↑ US$ 473
1%
↑ $450
3%
↑ $435
6%
↑ $420
8%
↓ $353
23%
↓ $330
2%
↓ $300
1%
↓ $263
<1%
$237,033 Vol.
↑ $570
<1%
↑ US$ 533
<1%
↑ $503
<1%
↑ US$ 473
1%
↑ $450
3%
↑ $435
6%
↑ $420
8%
↓ $353
23%
↓ $330
2%
↓ $300
1%
↓ $263
<1%
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla traders on Polymarket are pricing a 55% implied probability for TSLA closing above $400 in March 2026, driven primarily by optimism around full self-driving (FSD) regulatory approvals and Cybercab production ramps following the October robotaxi unveil. Confirmed Q3 2024 deliveries hit 462,890 vehicles, beating revenue expectations at $25.2 billion despite a 6% YoY auto decline, with energy storage growth offsetting weakness. Market dynamics hinge on Q4 delivery beats (expected ~515k units) and January 29, 2025 earnings, amid Fed rate cuts supporting growth stocks; however, China EV competition and high 130x forward P/E introduce downside risks, with historical volatility implying wide outcome dispersion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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