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icon for US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?

US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?

icon for US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?

US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$11,989 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$11,989 Vol.

The Trump Administration is considering dropping leaflets on Venezuela in a move to increase pressure on Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-considers-dropping-leaflets-venezuela-maduro/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, including the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, or any other entity acting under the authority of the U.S. federal government, intentionally drops leaflets on Venezuelan territory by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The United States government will be considered to have dropped leaflets on Venezuelan territory if it aerially drops any physical object on Venezuelan territory which contains text or information intended to convey a message to Venezuelan citizens on the ground. Digital messages, radio broadcasts, or any non-physical communications will not qualify. The dropping of physically-printed QR codes or other forms of non-text physical communication, however, will count. For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela as of November 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the territory of Venezuela. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Trump Administration is considering dropping leaflets on Venezuela in a move to increase pressure on Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-considers-dropping-leaflets-venezuela-maduro/.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, including the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, or any other entity acting under the authority of the U.S. federal government, intentionally drops leaflets on Venezuelan territory by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The United States government will be considered to have dropped leaflets on Venezuelan territory if it aerially drops any physical object on Venezuelan territory which contains text or information intended to convey a message to Venezuelan citizens on the ground. Digital messages, radio broadcasts, or any non-physical communications will not qualify. The dropping of physically-printed QR codes or other forms of non-text physical communication, however, will count.

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela as of November 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the territory of Venezuela.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,989
Data de Término
30 nov 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
The Trump Administration is considering dropping leaflets on Venezuela in a move to increase pressure on Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-considers-dropping-leaflets-venezuela-maduro/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, including the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, or any other entity acting under the authority of the U.S. federal government, intentionally drops leaflets on Venezuelan territory by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The United States government will be considered to have dropped leaflets on Venezuelan territory if it aerially drops any physical object on Venezuelan territory which contains text or information intended to convey a message to Venezuelan citizens on the ground. Digital messages, radio broadcasts, or any non-physical communications will not qualify. The dropping of physically-printed QR codes or other forms of non-text physical communication, however, will count. For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela as of November 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the territory of Venezuela. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

The Trump Administration is considering dropping leaflets on Venezuela in a move to increase pressure on Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-considers-dropping-leaflets-venezuela-maduro/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, including the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, or any other entity acting under the authority of the U.S. federal government, intentionally drops leaflets on Venezuelan territory by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The United States government will be considered to have dropped leaflets on Venezuelan territory if it aerially drops any physical object on Venezuelan territory which contains text or information intended to convey a message to Venezuelan citizens on the ground. Digital messages, radio broadcasts, or any non-physical communications will not qualify. The dropping of physically-printed QR codes or other forms of non-text physical communication, however, will count. For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela as of November 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the territory of Venezuela. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Trump Administration is considering dropping leaflets on Venezuela in a move to increase pressure on Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-considers-dropping-leaflets-venezuela-maduro/.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, including the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, or any other entity acting under the authority of the U.S. federal government, intentionally drops leaflets on Venezuelan territory by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The United States government will be considered to have dropped leaflets on Venezuelan territory if it aerially drops any physical object on Venezuelan territory which contains text or information intended to convey a message to Venezuelan citizens on the ground. Digital messages, radio broadcasts, or any non-physical communications will not qualify. The dropping of physically-printed QR codes or other forms of non-text physical communication, however, will count.

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela as of November 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the territory of Venezuela.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,989
Data de Término
30 nov 2025
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
The Trump Administration is considering dropping leaflets on Venezuela in a move to increase pressure on Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-considers-dropping-leaflets-venezuela-maduro/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, including the U.S. military, intelligence agencies, or any other entity acting under the authority of the U.S. federal government, intentionally drops leaflets on Venezuelan territory by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The United States government will be considered to have dropped leaflets on Venezuelan territory if it aerially drops any physical object on Venezuelan territory which contains text or information intended to convey a message to Venezuelan citizens on the ground. Digital messages, radio broadcasts, or any non-physical communications will not qualify. The dropping of physically-printed QR codes or other forms of non-text physical communication, however, will count. For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela as of November 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the territory of Venezuela. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US drops leaflets on Venezuela by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.