Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class II U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following an August 6 primary. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hagerty's 2020 performance and substantial fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic success in the state since 1990 and the absence of competitive challengers at this stage. A Republican nominee would enter the general election with structural advantages in a reliably red state. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shifts, or an unusually strong Democratic primary performance could alter the outlook, though such factors remain distant given the current timeline and early positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Democrata
2%
$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$10,651 Vol.
95%
Democrata
$9,022 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class II U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following an August 6 primary. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hagerty's 2020 performance and substantial fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic success in the state since 1990 and the absence of competitive challengers at this stage. A Republican nominee would enter the general election with structural advantages in a reliably red state. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shifts, or an unusually strong Democratic primary performance could alter the outlook, though such factors remain distant given the current timeline and early positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$19,673Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class II U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following an August 6 primary. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hagerty's 2020 performance and substantial fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic success in the state since 1990 and the absence of competitive challengers at this stage. A Republican nominee would enter the general election with structural advantages in a reliably red state. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shifts, or an unusually strong Democratic primary performance could alter the outlook, though such factors remain distant given the current timeline and early positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$19,673Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class II U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, following an August 6 primary. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hagerty's 2020 performance and substantial fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic success in the state since 1990 and the absence of competitive challengers at this stage. A Republican nominee would enter the general election with structural advantages in a reliably red state. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national political shifts, or an unusually strong Democratic primary performance could alter the outlook, though such factors remain distant given the current timeline and early positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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