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Who will win each swing district?

icon for Who will win each swing district?

Who will win each swing district?

$506,773 Vol.

5 nov 2024
Polymarket

$506,773 Vol.

Polymarket

Macomb, MI (Detroit)

$49,193 Vol.

Trump

Erie, PA

$222,348 Vol.

Trump

Pinellas, FL (Tampa Bay)

$20,443 Vol.

Trump

Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix)

$109,675 Vol.

Trump

Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)

$23,049 Vol.

Harris

Bucks, PA (Philly)

$26,651 Vol.

Trump

Clark, NV (Las Vegas)

$55,412 Vol.

Harris

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Erie county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Pinellas county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Maricopa county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Kent county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Bucks county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Clark county vote tally.

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.
Volume
$506,773
Data de Término
5 nov 2024
Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2024, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.

Resultado proposto: Trump

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Trump

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Erie county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Pinellas county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Maricopa county, AZ, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Maricopa county vote tally.This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Kent county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Kent county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Bucks county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Bucks county vote tally. This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Clark county, NV, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Clark county vote tally.

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election.

If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.
Volume
$506,773
Data de Término
5 nov 2024
Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2024, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Macomb county, MI, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Macomb county vote tally.

Resultado proposto: Trump

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Trump

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win each swing district?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)" at 100%, followed by "Clark, NV (Las Vegas)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win each swing district?" has generated $506.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win each swing district?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win each swing district?" is "Kent, MI (Grand Rapids)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clark, NV (Las Vegas)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win each swing district?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.