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Clima E Ciência·Precipitação

Precipitação em Seattle em março?

Market icon
Clima E Ciência·Precipitação

Precipitação em Seattle em março?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

5-6" 94.0%

15-18 cm 3.6%

7-8" <1%

>8" <1%

Polymarket

$320,464 Vol.

5-6" 94.0%

15-18 cm 3.6%

7-8" <1%

>8" <1%

Polymarket

$320,464 Vol.

<3"

$60,130 Vol.

<1%

3-4"

$167,678 Vol.

<1%

10-13 cm

$33,190 Vol.

<1%

5-6"

$14,970 Vol.

94%

15-18 cm

$21,258 Vol.

4%

7-8"

$11,470 Vol.

1%

>8"

$11,768 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), driven by National Weather Service observations showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch 1991-2020 normal—following early-month atmospheric rivers and record daily rains that boosted totals 142% above average. Recent dry conditions, with zero precipitation on March 28 and minimal expected through March 31 per NOAA forecast models, have solidified this positioning amid typical late-winter ridging patterns steering systems northward. Scenarios challenging this include an unforeseen heavy rain event exceeding 0.63 inches in the final days, though current ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood under stable high-pressure influence. Official monthly totals release post-April 1.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), driven by National Weather Service observations showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch 1991-2020 normal—following early-month atmospheric rivers and record daily rains that boosted totals 142% above average. Recent dry conditions, with zero precipitation on March 28 and minimal expected through March 31 per NOAA forecast models, have solidified this positioning amid typical late-winter ridging patterns steering systems northward. Scenarios challenging this include an unforeseen heavy rain event exceeding 0.63 inches in the final days, though current ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood under stable high-pressure influence. Official monthly totals release post-April 1.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), driven by National Weather Service observations showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch 1991-2020 normal—following early-month atmospheric rivers and record daily rains that boosted totals 142% above average. Recent dry conditions, with zero precipitation on March 28 and minimal expected through March 31 per NOAA forecast models, have solidified this positioning amid typical late-winter ridging patterns steering systems northward. Scenarios challenging this include an unforeseen heavy rain event exceeding 0.63 inches in the final days, though current ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood under stable high-pressure influence. Official monthly totals release post-April 1.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), driven by National Weather Service observations showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch 1991-2020 normal—following early-month atmospheric rivers and record daily rains that boosted totals 142% above average. Recent dry conditions, with zero precipitation on March 28 and minimal expected through March 31 per NOAA forecast models, have solidified this positioning amid typical late-winter ridging patterns steering systems northward. Scenarios challenging this include an unforeseen heavy rain event exceeding 0.63 inches in the final days, though current ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood under stable high-pressure influence. Official monthly totals release post-April 1.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitação em Seattle em março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5-6"" at 94%, followed by "15-18 cm" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Precipitação em Seattle em março?" has generated $320.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Precipitação em Seattle em março?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitação em Seattle em março?" is "5-6"" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "15-18 cm" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitação em Seattle em março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.