Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 80-90 million views bucket at 66% implied probability for MrBeast's next YouTube video week one, driven by the consistent performance of his recent challenge uploads, including "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000," which hit around 85 million views in its debut week amid massive subscriber engagement from his 380 million-plus base. The 70-80M outcome at 30% reflects occasional dips seen in prior releases like survival stunts facing algorithm fluctuations and Shorts competition, while 90M+ at just 3% acknowledges barriers to record-breaking virality without a mega-event tie-in. Absent announcements on the next video's theme or release date in the past 48 hours, traders anchor to this historical trajectory, with YouTube metrics and thumbnail optimization as key swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 68%
70-80M 29.0%
90M+ 1.8%
50-60M <1%
$885,231 Vol.
$885,231 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
29%
80-90M
68%
90M+
2%
80-90M 68%
70-80M 29.0%
90M+ 1.8%
50-60M <1%
$885,231 Vol.
$885,231 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
29%
80-90M
68%
90M+
2%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 80-90 million views bucket at 66% implied probability for MrBeast's next YouTube video week one, driven by the consistent performance of his recent challenge uploads, including "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000," which hit around 85 million views in its debut week amid massive subscriber engagement from his 380 million-plus base. The 70-80M outcome at 30% reflects occasional dips seen in prior releases like survival stunts facing algorithm fluctuations and Shorts competition, while 90M+ at just 3% acknowledges barriers to record-breaking virality without a mega-event tie-in. Absent announcements on the next video's theme or release date in the past 48 hours, traders anchor to this historical trajectory, with YouTube metrics and thumbnail optimization as key swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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