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Próximo ator de James Bond?

Market icon

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 63%

Callum Turner 22%

Jacob Elordi 4.0%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,438,787 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 63%

Callum Turner 22%

Jacob Elordi 4.0%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,438,787 Vol.

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Nenhum Bond escolhido

$237,832 Vol.

63%

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Callum Turner

$104,985 Vol.

22%

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Jacob Elordi

$182,720 Vol.

4%

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Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$92,930 Vol.

3%

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Paul Mescal

$58,402 Vol.

3%

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Henry Cavill

$181,719 Vol.

3%

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Theo James

$13,394 Vol.

1%

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Harris Dickinson

$128,313 Vol.

1%

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Tom Holland

$57,183 Vol.

1%

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Pierce Brosnan

$168,838 Vol.

1%

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Jack Lowdon

$57,226 Vol.

1%

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Josh O'Connor

$8,984 Vol.

<1%

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James Norton

$86,078 Vol.

<1%

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Tom Hardy

$52,835 Vol.

<1%

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Robert James-Collier

$7,349 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 62.5% implied probability to no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon for Bond 26, driven by insiders dismissing high-profile rumors as "bullsh*t" and producers prioritizing Steven Knight's screenplay under Denis Villeneuve's direction before casting locks in—echoing Barbara Broccoli's deliberate pace post-Daniel Craig. Callum Turner's 21.5% frontrunner status stems from early March betting surges and viral buzz labeling his potential role the "worst-kept secret," fueled by his Berlin Film Festival coyness, though he remains unconfirmed amid guild-like scrutiny of rising British talents. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (4%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.4%) reflect faded offers and red-carpet speculation without official traction, with script reveals and 2026 filming starts as key catalysts ahead.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 62.5% implied probability to no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon for Bond 26, driven by insiders dismissing high-profile rumors as "bullsh*t" and producers prioritizing Steven Knight's screenplay under Denis Villeneuve's direction before casting locks in—echoing Barbara Broccoli's deliberate pace post-Daniel Craig. Callum Turner's 21.5% frontrunner status stems from early March betting surges and viral buzz labeling his potential role the "worst-kept secret," fueled by his Berlin Film Festival coyness, though he remains unconfirmed amid guild-like scrutiny of rising British talents. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (4%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.4%) reflect faded offers and red-carpet speculation without official traction, with script reveals and 2026 filming starts as key catalysts ahead.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 62.5% implied probability to no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon for Bond 26, driven by insiders dismissing high-profile rumors as "bullsh*t" and producers prioritizing Steven Knight's screenplay under Denis Villeneuve's direction before casting locks in—echoing Barbara Broccoli's deliberate pace post-Daniel Craig. Callum Turner's 21.5% frontrunner status stems from early March betting surges and viral buzz labeling his potential role the "worst-kept secret," fueled by his Berlin Film Festival coyness, though he remains unconfirmed amid guild-like scrutiny of rising British talents. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (4%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.4%) reflect faded offers and red-carpet speculation without official traction, with script reveals and 2026 filming starts as key catalysts ahead.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 62.5% implied probability to no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon for Bond 26, driven by insiders dismissing high-profile rumors as "bullsh*t" and producers prioritizing Steven Knight's screenplay under Denis Villeneuve's direction before casting locks in—echoing Barbara Broccoli's deliberate pace post-Daniel Craig. Callum Turner's 21.5% frontrunner status stems from early March betting surges and viral buzz labeling his potential role the "worst-kept secret," fueled by his Berlin Film Festival coyness, though he remains unconfirmed amid guild-like scrutiny of rising British talents. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (4%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (3.4%) reflect faded offers and red-carpet speculation without official traction, with script reveals and 2026 filming starts as key catalysts ahead.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 63%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.