Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no James Bond actor announcement imminent at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' and Amazon MGM's deliberate pre-production pace for Bond 26—now scripted by Steven Knight and reportedly eyed by director Denis Villeneuve—five years after Daniel Craig's exit. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 22% surged in March amid unverified casting buzz amplified by betting platforms and his Berlinale appearance, though he demurred on speculation. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (2.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) track persistent tabloid chatter without official confirmation, as producers emphasize a fresh narrative over rushed reveals ahead of potential 2027 production starts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Nenhum Bond escolhido 68%
Callum Turner 22%
Jacob Elordi 2.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%
$1,610,154 Vol.
$1,610,154 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
68%

Callum Turner
22%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Paul Mescal
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Jack Lowdon
1%

James Norton
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 68%
Callum Turner 22%
Jacob Elordi 2.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 2.6%
$1,610,154 Vol.
$1,610,154 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
68%

Callum Turner
22%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Paul Mescal
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Jack Lowdon
1%

James Norton
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no James Bond actor announcement imminent at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' and Amazon MGM's deliberate pre-production pace for Bond 26—now scripted by Steven Knight and reportedly eyed by director Denis Villeneuve—five years after Daniel Craig's exit. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 22% surged in March amid unverified casting buzz amplified by betting platforms and his Berlinale appearance, though he demurred on speculation. Lower odds for Jacob Elordi (2.9%) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (2.6%) track persistent tabloid chatter without official confirmation, as producers emphasize a fresh narrative over rushed reveals ahead of potential 2027 production starts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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