Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close, with 44.5% implied probability for $33,000-$36,000 and 44.0% for $26,500-$28,500, reflecting balanced bull-bear dynamics amid recent volatility. NDX rebounded 1.2% to around 24,000 on April 1 following last week's losses, fueled by short-covering and optimism over AI-driven earnings from megacaps like Nvidia, yet sticky inflation—holding near 3.4%—and Fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper upside, raising no-cut risks per Powell's comments. Key differentiators include Q1 tech earnings beats versus valuation multiples at historical highs; the April 28-29 FOMC and May CPI release loom as pivotal catalysts that could tip sentiment toward correction or extension.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$33,000-$36,000 91%
$30,500-$33,000 90%
$26,500-$28,500 88%
$23,500-$25,000 77%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
<$23,500
28%
$23,500-$25,000
77%
$25,000-$26,500
77%
$26,500-$28,500
88%
$28,500-$30,500
-
$30,500-$33,000
90%
$33,000-$36,000
91%
>$36,000
45%
$33,000-$36,000 91%
$30,500-$33,000 90%
$26,500-$28,500 88%
$23,500-$25,000 77%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
<$23,500
$0 Vol.
28%
$23,500-$25,000
$0 Vol.
77%
$25,000-$26,500
$0 Vol.
77%
$26,500-$28,500
$0 Vol.
88%
$28,500-$30,500
$0 Vol.
-
$30,500-$33,000
$0 Vol.
90%
$33,000-$36,000
$0 Vol.
91%
>$36,000
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close, with 44.5% implied probability for $33,000-$36,000 and 44.0% for $26,500-$28,500, reflecting balanced bull-bear dynamics amid recent volatility. NDX rebounded 1.2% to around 24,000 on April 1 following last week's losses, fueled by short-covering and optimism over AI-driven earnings from megacaps like Nvidia, yet sticky inflation—holding near 3.4%—and Fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper upside, raising no-cut risks per Powell's comments. Key differentiators include Q1 tech earnings beats versus valuation multiples at historical highs; the April 28-29 FOMC and May CPI release loom as pivotal catalysts that could tip sentiment toward correction or extension.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close, with 44.5% implied probability for $33,000-$36,000 and 44.0% for $26,500-$28,500, reflecting balanced bull-bear dynamics amid recent volatility. NDX rebounded 1.2% to around 24,000 on April 1 following last week's losses, fueled by short-covering and optimism over AI-driven earnings from megacaps like Nvidia, yet sticky inflation—holding near 3.4%—and Fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper upside, raising no-cut risks per Powell's comments. Key differentiators include Q1 tech earnings beats versus valuation multiples at historical highs; the April 28-29 FOMC and May CPI release loom as pivotal catalysts that could tip sentiment toward correction or extension.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close, with 44.5% implied probability for $33,000-$36,000 and 44.0% for $26,500-$28,500, reflecting balanced bull-bear dynamics amid recent volatility. NDX rebounded 1.2% to around 24,000 on April 1 following last week's losses, fueled by short-covering and optimism over AI-driven earnings from megacaps like Nvidia, yet sticky inflation—holding near 3.4%—and Fed funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper upside, raising no-cut risks per Powell's comments. Key differentiators include Q1 tech earnings beats versus valuation multiples at historical highs; the April 28-29 FOMC and May CPI release loom as pivotal catalysts that could tip sentiment toward correction or extension.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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