Illinois freshman Keaton Wagler leads trader consensus at 5.8% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after earning South Region MOP honors with a 25-point Elite Eight explosion versus Iowa, propelling the No. 3 seed Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005 and securing the Jerry West Award as top shooting guard. His tournament averages of 17.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 3.8 assists highlight his breakout amid a deep freshman class, differentiating him in a wide-open field where team advancement weighs heavily. Duke's Cameron Boozer (0.7%), despite 22.5 points and 10.2 rebounds per game as ACC Player of the Year, saw his squad exit earlier, while BYU's AJ Dybantsa (0.3%) dazzled with 35 points in a first-round loss, underscoring how deep runs and clutch Final Four performances separate frontrunners from statistical standouts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKeaton Wagler 1.3%
Cameron Boozer <1%
Jeremy Fears Jr <1%
Joshua Jefferson <1%
$244,585 Vol.
$244,585 Vol.
Keaton Wagler
1%
Cameron Boozer
1%
Jeremy Fears Jr
<1%
Joshua Jefferson
<1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
Braden Smith
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
Kingston Flemings
<1%
Darius Acuff Jr
<1%
Keaton Wagler 1.3%
Cameron Boozer <1%
Jeremy Fears Jr <1%
Joshua Jefferson <1%
$244,585 Vol.
$244,585 Vol.
Keaton Wagler
1%
Cameron Boozer
1%
Jeremy Fears Jr
<1%
Joshua Jefferson
<1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
Braden Smith
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
Kingston Flemings
<1%
Darius Acuff Jr
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Illinois freshman Keaton Wagler leads trader consensus at 5.8% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after earning South Region MOP honors with a 25-point Elite Eight explosion versus Iowa, propelling the No. 3 seed Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005 and securing the Jerry West Award as top shooting guard. His tournament averages of 17.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 3.8 assists highlight his breakout amid a deep freshman class, differentiating him in a wide-open field where team advancement weighs heavily. Duke's Cameron Boozer (0.7%), despite 22.5 points and 10.2 rebounds per game as ACC Player of the Year, saw his squad exit earlier, while BYU's AJ Dybantsa (0.3%) dazzled with 35 points in a first-round loss, underscoring how deep runs and clutch Final Four performances separate frontrunners from statistical standouts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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